The way the Chargers played didn't show much of the country that they deserve to be in the playoffs (Just ask the Steelers what they think). The Chargers are a team with some talent but has lacked consistency (especially on the defensive side of the ball) and the ability to close out games. The offense is still potent and will have to keep their foot on the gas pedal going forward against the Bengals.
The Bengals are a solid team on both sides of the ball. They have a stout front 7 that can stop the run and get to the quarterback. Their secondary has been beat up but if Terrance Newman, Leon Hall, and Pacman are all available they can certainly cover San Diego's receivers. On offense they can pack a punch as well with Andy Dalton, sensational rookie Giovanni Bernard, and the All Pro A.J. Green.
http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2014010500/2013/POST18/chargers@bengals?icampaign=GC_schedule_rr#menu=gameinfo&tab=preview
I was at Qualcomm for their match-up earlier in the year in week 13. The Bengals prevailed in that game 17-10. It was a close game that in the end was determined in my mind by turnovers by Keenan Allen and Antonio Gates. The first drive of the game saw the Chargers march up the field just outside of the redzone where Rivers connected a pass to Gates in which he fumbled while diving to the ground. The play was reviewed but upheld on what really was a fantastic play by the Bengals safety. Dalton didn't play great but also didn't shoot himself in the foot and the Bengals defense held up on the road.
In the playoffs I expect another good game. Don't expect the Chargers to play like they did last week against the Cheifs. Both teams will be playing in the cold and need to protect the ball and force long 3rd down passing downs.
Keys for the Charges:
Generate some sort of pass rush
A huge weakness of the Chargers all year has been their ability to get pressure on the QB. Injuries to Larry English, Dwight Freeney, and Melvin Ingram certainty haven't helped but somehow they have to have it against the Bengals. Ingram is now back and should have his legs back under him so he will be a key player to watch on the Chargers D. The Chargers cannot let Dalton sit back in comfort and throw the ball to AJ Green. They must test Dalton to see if he is truly elite or just an average QB on a good team.
Ryan Mathews and the run game
Down the stretch Ryan Mathews has been a work horse stringing together 100yd games. His productivity will have to continue in this one. The Bengals are a tough team to run on but the Chargers must stay disciplined a give Mathews a chance to soften the Bengals front 7 up. This will open opportunities for Rivers in the play action game and keep San Diego's defense on the sideline.
3rd down conversion
Woodhead! The Chargers have struggled in recent games converting on 3rd down. For the Chargers to win they must control the clock and keep the defense on the sideline. 3rd and 4 will be a common sight in this game and the offense must be able to deliver. Look for Gates and Woodhead on 3rd down.
Keys for the Bengals:
Andy Dalton
In his first 3 seasons Dalton has been great. Unfortunately he has not wowed either. This is a big chance for him to prove his worth against the Chargers and advance the Bengals in the playoffs. In their week 13 meeting with the Chargers Dalton completed 14 of 23 passes for only 190 yards throwing 1 touchdown and 1 interception. With the chargers secondary playing so atrocious he will definitely have to be better and be a key factor if the bengals are going to win.
Giovanni Bernard
Bernard was abnormally quiet in their first match-up. He is an explosive player and a nice saftey net for Dalton in the passing game. Hopefully for the Bengals Bernard hasn't hit a rookie wall going into the 18th week of the season. If Bernard is playing well the Chargers are in trouble.
Bengals front 7
The Bengals D has been solid all year and now that the playoffs are here look for them to step up again. Burfict, Hayes, Harrison and all the others will be after Rivers and the run game all day. If they can create turnovers like in game 1 the Chargers don't have a chance.
What's the outcome?
I think the Chargers go on the road in cold weather and pull off then upset. They are riding an emotional high, have played in lots of tight games, and are playing well on offense. The Bengals are a solid team but have not shown a killer instinct that they should have to knock out an inferior team. It will be a game decided on the last drive: 24-20 Chargers.
Good luck to all the teams and fans and enjoy the wild playoff games!
No comments:
Post a Comment